India’s ambitious growth agenda in 2015 will be influenced by two pressing developments – (a) China’s economic slowdown (b) instability in South Asia.
If instability persists in South Asia in 2015, two scenarios are likely:
1. An unstable South Asia will intersect with China’s orderly slowdown: This scenario will strengthen China’s authority in new institutions, even as it increases its influence in the existing world order. China will be on course for parity with the U.S., resulting in a G2.
2. An unstable South Asia will intersect with China’s disorderly slowdown: This scenario will lead to the U.S. consolidating its power and retaining dominance. The Voice of America will be gospel.
Which scenario will prevail in 2015? How will India be impacted?
Neelam Deo, director at Gateway House, will argue in support of G2, and K. N. Vaidyanathan, senior fellow for geoeconomics studies at Gateway House, will argue in support of the U.S.. The discussion will be moderated by Akshay Mathur, head of research and geoeconomics fellow at Gateway House.
The event was hosted in Collaboration with Government Law College, Mumbai.
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